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Home » Gold Pulls Back to $4,104 After Three-Day Rally: 55% YTD Gain on Track for Best Performance Since 1979 Despite Profit-Taking
Commodities

Gold Pulls Back to $4,104 After Three-Day Rally: 55% YTD Gain on Track for Best Performance Since 1979 Despite Profit-Taking

Adrian BlakeBy Adrian BlakeNovember 12, 2025Updated:November 14, 2025No Comments4 Mins Read
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November 12, 2025, 13:43 SGT — Gold retreated slightly on Wednesday, trading at $4,104.45 per ounce after three consecutive days of gains, as traders adopted a cautious stance ahead of a wave of U.S. economic data releases following the end of America’s longest-ever government shutdown. The pullback marks a consolidation phase for the precious metal, which remains up an extraordinary 55% year-to-date and is on track for its best annual performance since 1979.

Modest Pullback from Three-Week Highs

Spot gold was down 0.5% at $4,104.45 an ounce as of 1:43 p.m. Singapore time on Wednesday, paring earlier gains that had pushed bullion above the psychologically significant $4,100 level. The retreat comes after gold touched $4,148.75 on Monday—the highest level in nearly three weeks—as markets rallied on news that the U.S. Senate had approved a temporary spending package to end the historic government shutdown.

On November 11, 2025, gold prices surged, reaching a three-week high and trading above $4,130-$4,140 per ounce. Spot gold was up 0.4% at $4,131.32 per ounce, with US gold futures for December delivery also rising by 0.4% to $4,137.50 per ounce.

The current consolidation near $4,100 represents a healthy pullback after the Monday surge, with technical analysts viewing the level as a critical support zone. Despite Wednesday’s modest decline, gold remains firmly in a bull market, trading approximately 6.3% below its all-time high of $4,381 reached on October 20, 2025.

Other precious metals followed gold’s lead, with silver, platinum, and palladium all seeing slight declines on Wednesday. The Bloomberg Dollar Spot Index was up 0.1%, ending a five-day losing streak that had provided tailwinds for dollar-denominated commodities.

Government Shutdown: 40-Day Crisis Finally Ends

The catalyst for gold’s recent three-day rally was significant progress toward resolving the United States’ longest-ever government shutdown, which has paralyzed federal operations for more than 40 days since October 1, 2025.

A historic and prolonged US government shutdown, which has lasted between 40 to 42 days since October 1, 2025, has exacerbated the economic uncertainty. This unprecedented impasse has led to the furloughing of nearly a million federal employees and forced another two million to work without pay, further eroding consumer and business confidence.

The Senate approved a temporary spending package on Sunday evening after a group of Democratic lawmakers crossed party lines to back the compromise plan. The reopening now hinges on action by the Republican-controlled House of Representatives, with final passage and presidential signature expected imminently—potentially as early as Tuesday, November 12.

The prolonged shutdown froze critical economic data releases, prevented routine government functions, and cast a shadow over business planning and consumer confidence. The U.S. federal government has been in a historic 42-day shutdown since October 1, 2025, furloughing nearly a million federal employees and forcing another two million to work without pay. This unprecedented impasse has cast a long shadow over the economy, delaying critical data releases and eroding consumer and business confidence.

Labor Market Weakness Fuels Rate Cut Expectations

While the shutdown resolution removes one source of uncertainty, emerging signs of labor market fragility continue to support the case for additional Federal Reserve rate cuts—a fundamental tailwind for non-yielding assets like gold.

Private employment data released Tuesday painted a concerning picture of U.S. job market health. The Automatic Data Processing (ADP) National Employment Report for October 2025 indicated only a modest increase of 42,000 private sector jobs, described as “tepid and not broad-based,” with weekly preliminary ADP data showing private employers shedding approximately 11,250 jobs per week through late October.

Even more alarming, US employers announced a staggering 153,074 planned job cuts in October 2025, marking a 175% increase from the previous year and the highest figure for any October since 2003. Year-over-year payroll growth has decelerated sharply to an estimated 0.5% in October 2025, down dramatically from 1.7% at the beginning of the year.

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Adrian Blake

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